A Peroxa CF vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17%
16.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Peroxa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PSC
4 - 1
APE
45%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
APE
5 - 1
FRA
78%
13%
9%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 2
APE
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
APE
6 - 1
MAC
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAS
1 - 0
APE
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
COV
2 - 1
AVI
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 2
COV
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
COV
2 - 3
VAL
60%
20%
20%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
VER
1 - 1
COV
72%
17%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
COV
4 - 4
SEI
74%
14%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |