Pérolas Negras vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
PER
2 - 0
CIG
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
CIG
2 - 0
PER
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PER
1 - 0
CGA
32%
22%
46%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 1
PER
51%
23%
27%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
PER
2 - 1
CER
64%
19%
18%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
4 - 1
BON
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NOV
4 - 1
SFC
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
0 - 1
ANG
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 0
SFC
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SFC
1 - 0
SAO
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |