Carioca 2 Championship Finals Final
Global 2-3
Pérolas Negras vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
SER
1 - 1
PER
25%
23%
51%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
0 - 1
PER
29%
25%
47%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CGA
1 - 1
PER
37%
25%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PER
1 - 1
SFC
59%
23%
19%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
PER
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
0 - 1
PER
29%
25%
47%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
3 - 1
RIO
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CIG
1 - 1
OLA
28%
22%
51%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
OLA
2 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |