Pérolas Negras vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
SFC
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
PER
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PAD
1 - 2
PER
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
PER
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 0
SAO
39%
26%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 0
AME
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FRI
1 - 1
GOY
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
FRI
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |