Pérolas Negras vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OLA
1 - 1
PER
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
PER
1 - 1
BAN
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
PET
1 - 2
PER
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
PER
0 - 1
RES
24%
25%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2025 |
CAB
1 - 0
PER
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
DUQ
2 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
ADC
0 - 0
DUQ
31%
27%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
DUQ
1 - 1
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
AUD
2 - 1
DUQ
51%
26%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
DUQ
0 - 2
SAO
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |