Pérolas Negras vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
PER
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PER
0 - 1
GOY
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
PER
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PER
2 - 0
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NCI
4 - 0
PER
21%
21%
58%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -3 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
DUQ
3 - 2
SFC
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
DUQ
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
DUQ
4 - 0
CIG
61%
20%
19%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 0
DUQ
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRI
0 - 1
DUQ
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |