Perly-Certoux vs Vernier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+148%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
FCR
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MON
3 - 0
PER
12%
19%
70%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
PER
1 - 0
STA
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
PER
2 - 2
COL
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 0
PER
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vernier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MON
2 - 2
VER
36%
24%
41%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VER
2 - 0
CSC
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VER
1 - 3
CHI
79%
13%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VER
0 - 2
FCA
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
VER
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |