Perly-Certoux vs Orbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TER
3 - 1
PER
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
PER
0 - 1
SER
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
MON
0 - 2
PER
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
SIE
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SBC
4 - 1
PER
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 3
BAV
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COL
3 - 3
FCO
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
TER
4 - 0
FCO
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 5
SER
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
MON
3 - 0
FCO
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |