Perly-Certoux vs Orbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
PER
62%
20%
19%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
SBC
52%
22%
25%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
SEC
1 - 0
PER
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
PER
3 - 1
BEX
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
BAV
1 - 1
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Orbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
2 - 1
VEV
12%
21%
67%
|
19 | 55 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
FCO
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
0 - 0
FCG
51%
23%
26%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SBC
1 - 1
FCO
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
FCO
0 - 1
STA
18%
22%
60%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |