Perly-Certoux vs Echichens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
16º
12º
41
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
73% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perly-Certoux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ROM
3 - 4
PER
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PER
2 - 2
FCA
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DAR
1 - 3
PER
39%
23%
39%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
PER
2 - 3
UGS
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TPA
1 - 3
PER
61%
19%
19%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Echichens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
ECH
3 - 0
FCC
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
ECH
1 - 1
VEY
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ECH
1 - 0
COL
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FAR
1 - 1
ECH
70%
17%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ECH
1 - 4
STA
22%
21%
57%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |