Perlen-Buchrain vs Zug 94 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
48.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
14º
12º
51
2º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
PER
43%
24%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
FCS
37%
23%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
CHA
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 1
PER
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
FCC
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Zug 94
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ZUG
3 - 2
SCE
68%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZUG
0 - 1
FCC
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
WOH
4 - 1
ZUG
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 0
ZUG
20%
22%
58%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ZUG
3 - 2
RSZ
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |