Perlen-Buchrain vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
BRU
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ASC
4 - 0
PER
48%
22%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PER
2 - 0
NOV
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 1
PER
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PER
1 - 2
HER
14%
16%
70%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 1
SAR
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BRU
2 - 4
LUG
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
ESC
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 1
LUG
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |