Perlen-Buchrain vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LUZ
4 - 1
PER
73%
15%
12%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
PER
1 - 3
TAV
27%
22%
50%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HER
2 - 3
PER
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PER
2 - 3
HOC
26%
21%
54%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HOC
3 - 1
LUG
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
BRU
73%
15%
12%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 2
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
VED
85%
10%
5%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |