Perlen-Buchrain vs Unterstrass analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
40.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
14º
12º
22
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BUO
4 - 1
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SCE
2 - 0
PER
48%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PER
1 - 2
LOC
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
PER
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PER
3 - 0
ZOF
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Unterstrass
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
4 - 0
SCE
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOC
2 - 0
FCU
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 3
FCC
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZOF
0 - 3
FCU
48%
22%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
20%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |