Perlen-Buchrain vs Buochs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
55.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
14º
12º
37
5º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perlen-Buchrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
SCE
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LOC
2 - 0
PER
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
FCC
23%
21%
56%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
LUZ
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RSZ
1 - 2
PER
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Buochs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
BUO
1 - 1
BRU
35%
23%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 0
ASC
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCE
3 - 5
BUO
29%
21%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 0
FCS
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 4
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |