Perilla Castro vs Morales de Toro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perilla Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
6 - 0
PER
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
PER
2 - 4
CAN
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
XUV
9 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
NAV
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
PER
0 - 3
MAD
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Morales de Toro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 3
COM
55%
20%
25%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ATH
1 - 2
MOR
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 3
MOR
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 3
SPO
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
5 - 1
CAN
49%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |