Pergolettese vs Ciserano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 2
INV
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PER
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
PER
54%
25%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PER
2 - 1
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ciserano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
0 - 0
PSM
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GRU
2 - 3
CIS
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 1
PIA
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2015 |
SER
3 - 1
CIS
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
CIS
3 - 2
VIR
39%
24%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +1 |