Pergolettese vs AC Sambonifacese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PER
0 - 1
PAV
38%
26%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
USI
0 - 2
PER
65%
20%
15%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PER
1 - 0
ACR
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
4 - 0
PER
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AC Sambonifacese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 2
FSD
33%
27%
41%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 1
ACS
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ACS
0 - 3
OLB
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -3 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 0
PAV
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 3
ACS
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |