Pergocrema vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
42.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pergocrema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PER
1 - 0
COM
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASF
1 - 0
PER
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
FCV
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
PER
76%
16%
7%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
VAR
2 - 1
PER
55%
26%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRG
4 - 0
USC
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
FCV
1 - 0
PRG
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
3 - 1
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |