PEPO vs Kiffen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
8º
3º
26
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 3
PEP
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 2
FUT
78%
13%
9%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 5
KUO
9%
17%
74%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
0 - 1
GRI
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 0
JBK
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kiffen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
4 - 0
JAP
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
FCK
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 0
FCR
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +4 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 2
PEP
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GRI
3 - 1
FCK
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |