Penydarren BGC vs Trethomas Bluebirds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
9.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
SUF
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
YAF
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PON
6 - 0
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CWM
50%
21%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
7 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 1
HAV
3%
8%
89%
|
14 | 59 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
6 - 0
TON
8%
12%
80%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 2
TRE
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 6
LLA
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -1 |