Penydarren BGC vs Swansea University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
4 - 0
YAF
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PON
6 - 0
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CWM
50%
21%
30%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BAN
7 - 0
PEN
92%
6%
2%
|
34 | 69 | 35 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 2
SUF
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SUF
0 - 2
LLA
33%
21%
47%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
TAF
0 - 0
SUF
80%
14%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LID
7 - 1
SUF
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
2 - 4
TRE
44%
21%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |