Penydarren BGC vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penydarren BGC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 3
PTA
75%
15%
10%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
SGA
76%
15%
9%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 3
CWM
32%
21%
47%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 0
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
SUF
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
PON
2 - 0
CWM
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
PON
20%
23%
58%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
NWC
0 - 1
PON
17%
22%
60%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PON
2 - 3
TRE
71%
17%
12%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
LLA
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |