Penycae FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
1 - 5
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 3
RTW
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CON
2 - 0
PEN
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PEN
0 - 4
PEN
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
RHY
2 - 1
PEN
55%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
FLI
1 - 5
CEF
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CEF
6 - 1
RTW
86%
10%
4%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 2
CEF
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CEF
3 - 0
CAE
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
CEF
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |