Penybont vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
5 - 2
CWM
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
LID
1 - 1
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 3
HAV
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAL
4 - 1
PEN
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
3 - 2
UND
23%
20%
57%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
0 - 3
BAR
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TON
4 - 1
RIS
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
RIS
0 - 2
CAE
15%
17%
69%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
TAF
3 - 2
RIS
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |