Penybont vs Goytre AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
MON
0 - 5
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
5 - 2
CAE
47%
23%
30%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CWM
1 - 5
PEN
45%
23%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 0
TAF
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
3 - 1
CAM
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GOY
2 - 0
LID
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GOY
2 - 4
TAF
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LID
0 - 5
GOY
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
GOY
5 - 1
HAV
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
GOY
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -2 |