Penybont vs Goytre AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
PEN
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
5 - 0
PEN
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 2
RIS
75%
14%
11%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 2
PEN
49%
22%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
4 - 1
GAR
83%
11%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CWM
5 - 3
GOY
18%
22%
60%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
GOY
5 - 0
GOY
46%
22%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GAR
0 - 5
GOY
21%
21%
58%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 1
GOY
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
GOY
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |