Penybont vs Goytre AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PON
1 - 3
PEN
14%
17%
69%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAE
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
HAV
3 - 3
PEN
33%
24%
44%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 3
PEN
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
LID
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
GOY
5 - 2
GOY
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
GOY
3 - 0
CAM
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LID
0 - 2
GOY
35%
23%
42%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
GOY
4 - 0
AFC
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
GOY
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -4 |