Penybont vs Goytre AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
5 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
TAF
1 - 2
PEN
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAM
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
WES
1 - 7
PEN
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 5
HAV
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Goytre AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 1
GOY
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
TAF
2 - 0
GOY
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
GOY
5 - 2
ABE
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
HAV
3 - 0
GOY
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
GOY
2 - 3
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |