Penybont vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 1
PEN
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
PEN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
PEN
87%
10%
4%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 1
CON
15%
24%
61%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CON
2 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -9 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
ABE
1 - 3
CON
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |