Penybont vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 3
TNS
6%
14%
80%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 0
PEN
79%
15%
7%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 1
ABE
28%
24%
49%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CON
3 - 1
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 72 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 1
CAE
31%
25%
45%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
1 - 2
NEW
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
CEF
0 - 3
BAL
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 0
CEF
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CEF
3 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |