Penybont vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
5º
3º
50
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
PEN
55%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
HOL
75%
15%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
NEW
39%
25%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
PEN
7%
15%
78%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 3
PEN
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 2
TNS
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
AIR
78%
16%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAR
15%
25%
60%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |