Penybont vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
41%
23%
36%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
GOY
3 - 0
PEN
57%
21%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PEN
5 - 1
RIS
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
0 - 1
PEN
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PEN
5 - 2
CWM
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
1 - 2
UND
52%
21%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAM
77%
15%
9%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 0
TON
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAE
1 - 0
CAM
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 3
TAF
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |