Penya Independent vs Soller analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.4%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
2º
19
12º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
90% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SNF
1 - 0
PIN
34%
23%
43%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PIN
4 - 1
BNS
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PBL
1 - 1
PIN
57%
19%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 0
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
IMA
1 - 2
PIN
26%
22%
53%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Soller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AND
7 - 0
SLL
86%
10%
4%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SLL
0 - 0
SNF
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BNS
2 - 0
SLL
56%
24%
21%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SLL
0 - 1
PBL
12%
19%
69%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SLL
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |