Penya Independent vs Sant Josep analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
AJE
0 - 8
PIN
4%
10%
86%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
PIN
3 - 2
PUI
92%
6%
2%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
PIN
7 - 0
SAN
90%
7%
3%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
IIB
1 - 9
PIN
5%
11%
84%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 0
LUC
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Sant Josep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
JOS
3 - 2
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 0
FOR
48%
23%
29%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
IIB
1 - 3
JOS
11%
16%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 1
LUC
37%
23%
39%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PES
2 - 4
JOS
36%
22%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |