Penya Independent vs PE Sant Jordi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
14.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
4º
2º
25
3º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
90% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MNC
1 - 1
PIN
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PIN
3 - 0
CLL
76%
14%
10%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PIN
1 - 2
AND
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SLL
1 - 4
PIN
13%
17%
71%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 1
SNF
48%
21%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
PE Sant Jordi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
JOR
2 - 0
SLL
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SNF
2 - 0
JOR
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
JOR
1 - 1
BNS
60%
22%
19%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PBL
2 - 2
JOR
77%
14%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
JOR
1 - 3
POR
57%
21%
21%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |