Penya Independent vs Poblense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
71.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
14º
18º
18º
41
2º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Independent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
RCD
6 - 0
PEN
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 2
SAL
13%
18%
70%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ADP
2 - 0
PEN
81%
13%
7%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FER
19%
19%
62%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 4
MAH
26%
21%
53%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Poblense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
POB
1 - 0
PLM
72%
16%
12%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
POB
45%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
POB
2 - 0
SAN
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PNT
1 - 1
POB
34%
21%
45%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POB
0 - 0
CEC
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |