Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
8º
6º
49
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 0
LAM
74%
15%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FCR
6 - 2
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
PEN
1 - 0
PAC
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ESA
1 - 2
PEN
18%
19%
63%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
UES
0 - 0
INT
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
LAM
0 - 2
UES
10%
16%
74%
|
69 | 36 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
FCO
1 - 3
UES
14%
21%
65%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
UES
2 - 1
PAC
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
INT
3 - 0
UES
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |