Penya Encarnada vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
42
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
FCO
2 - 0
PEN
34%
21%
46%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 4
PEN
36%
21%
43%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SJU
2 - 3
PEN
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
UEE
51%
22%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 0
PEN
65%
20%
16%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
UES
0 - 2
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UES
1 - 1
FCO
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SCO
3 - 0
UES
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UES
2 - 2
INT
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
UES
0 - 0
ATL
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |