Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
58.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
53
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
PEN
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 3
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
UEE
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 2
PEN
31%
23%
46%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
4 - 1
UES
25%
25%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
SCO
4 - 0
SJU
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
UES
0 - 0
SCO
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 1
FCO
74%
18%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
UEE
0 - 7
SCO
12%
22%
67%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
INT
0 - 0
SCO
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |