Penya Encarnada vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
51.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
53
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UEE
1 - 0
PEN
29%
22%
49%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
UES
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SJU
0 - 0
PEN
48%
24%
29%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
UEE
2 - 3
PEN
28%
20%
52%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
PEN
5 - 2
LAM
43%
22%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 1
ATL
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 2
INT
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UEE
0 - 1
SCO
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SCO
8 - 1
UEE
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FCO
2 - 3
SCO
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |