Penya Encarnada vs Jenlai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
70.3%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SCO
11 - 0
PEN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 6
UEE
12%
15%
72%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCR
8 - 0
PEN
92%
5%
3%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 4
LAM
84%
10%
6%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
LAM
82%
11%
7%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jenlai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
QES
6 - 2
FCS
48%
22%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 5
QES
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
QES
5 - 2
CAS
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LAM
2 - 1
QES
51%
22%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
QES
4 - 3
PEN
73%
16%
12%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |