Penya Encarnada vs Jenlai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
LUS
6 - 0
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
5 - 2
PRI
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 5
UEE
20%
21%
58%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 0
PEN
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Jenlai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
QES
3 - 0
UEE
37%
23%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
QES
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
QES
1 - 2
UEE
70%
16%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
QES
1 - 1
CAS
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
FCR
0 - 1
QES
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |