Penya Encarnada vs Lusitanos II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
6 - 1
PEN
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 14
QES
13%
16%
70%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SCO
11 - 0
PEN
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 6
UEE
12%
15%
72%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FCR
8 - 0
PEN
92%
5%
3%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitanos II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 1
FCS
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUS
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 5
QES
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SCO
0 - 2
LUS
23%
22%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
UEE
72%
16%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |