Penya Encarnada vs FC Ordino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
8º
6º
33
4º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
6º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
PAC
0 - 2
PEN
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
4 - 1
ESA
70%
17%
14%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SCO
1 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
PEN
2 - 2
UES
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ATL
1 - 0
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
FC Ordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCO
0 - 4
INT
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FCO
0 - 2
FCR
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
PAC
1 - 2
FCO
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCO
1 - 1
ESA
66%
19%
16%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SCO
0 - 1
FCO
72%
19%
10%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |