Penya Encarnada vs FC Ordino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
22%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
8º
5º
20
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
73% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 73% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
INT
2 - 0
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 0
PEN
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCO
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UEE
1 - 0
PEN
29%
22%
49%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 1
UES
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Ordino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FCO
0 - 3
ATL
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 1
FCO
67%
21%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FCO
5 - 3
UEE
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UES
0 - 0
FCO
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCO
0 - 1
SJU
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |