Penya Ciutadella U19 vs Formentera U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
4º
11º
10º
8
17º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
83 | 86 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
42 | 42 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
8 | 8 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Ciutadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AND
2 - 0
PEN
33%
23%
44%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
ALA
62%
19%
19%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ADP
0 - 2
PEN
55%
23%
23%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 1
SAN
12%
19%
69%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAL
3 - 0
PEN
71%
18%
12%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Formentera U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FRM
1 - 3
RCD
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PNT
3 - 0
FRM
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FRM
0 - 2
MAN
13%
20%
68%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ATB
12 - 0
FRM
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FRM
1 - 4
POR
35%
21%
44%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |