Penya Arrabal vs Margaritense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penya Arrabal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
POB
1 - 1
PEN
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 1
FLN
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
SER
1 - 0
PEN
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PEN
5 - 0
XIL
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 0
PEN
19%
23%
57%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Margaritense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
UNI
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
PLA
1 - 4
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SCD
1 - 1
MAR
42%
24%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 2
CFP
33%
27%
41%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |