Penrith Nepean United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
WOL
0 - 0
PNU
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
SYD
2 - 0
PNU
62%
22%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -3 |
| 26 Jun. 2007 |
PNU
0 - 3
MAN
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
PNU
2 - 1
SYD
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
WOL
1 - 0
PNU
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
SUT
4 - 1
API
15%
23%
63%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
SUT
84%
12%
5%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
SUT
1 - 0
BCL
25%
24%
52%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | +3 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
SYD
2 - 2
SUT
80%
15%
6%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
SUT
1 - 0
API
12%
22%
67%
|
24 | 58 | 34 | +1 |