Penrith Nepean United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
PNU
4 - 1
ADR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1985 |
MAR
6 - 0
PNU
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1985 |
PNU
0 - 1
SYD
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1985 |
PNU
0 - 1
HAS
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1985 |
MON
3 - 1
PNU
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
PER
2 - 2
MAR
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
ADE
1 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
SOU
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |